Earnings Season

Posted: Oct 15, 2012 10:56:51 AM

It is earnings season again on Wall street.  We kicked off last week with mostly good numbers but at the same time see forecasts for the upcoming quarter a little dampened.  This combined with the never ending Europe story caused markets to take a nice dip.  Negative earnings expectations are predicted to be the highest since the 1st quarter of 2009, see below:

Adding fuel to the fire is the fact that while the S&P 500 continues to go higher, earnings expectations are falling, as illustrated below. This means that Wall Street is concerned about our economic recovery. We expect to be in a trading range here for a while as valuations have discounted the slow economic backdrop, but any catalysts such as QE3 actually working or some change to the EU situation will drive the market higher.